The Detroit Lions are coming off a heartbreaking loss to the Cardinals and the Patriots are coming off a Sunday night shellacking of the Colts. Belichick is one of the best defensive minds in the game. He has bested Peyton Manning 11 times with Tom Brady at quarterback. The “new” Matthew Stafford is still trying to get his sea legs under him and this will be a tough test for him. Admittedly the Lions have the number one ranked defense in the league so one hopes that counts for something in shutting down the Patriots. In the tale of the two quarterback Stafford has a 1.1 TID while Brady has a 5.2 TID, Brady just doesn’t make enough mistakes and Stafford doesn’t throw enough touchdown passes. The Lions defense has a TID of 0 which means they aren’t creating enough turnovers, the Patriots defense on the other hand has a 1.9 TID. This means if the offensive line gives Stafford enough time the Lions should be able to beat up on the Patriots 17th ranked pass defense. The Lions have got to the running game going with the 31st ranked run offense in the league they are going to have a hard time closing out the game if they get a lead on New England.
The Patriots are rolling they have knocked off Denver, knocked off Indianapolis and Brady still has the touch. Brady takes a 9th ranked pass offense against the 5th ranked passing defense. Jonas Grey who put himself on the charts last week with a 199 yard 4 touchdown performance will be going up against the number one run defense in the league, don’t expect him to post similar numbers against this Lions defense. As bad as their run defense is it is still more than enough to stop an anemic Lions rushing attack making the Lions once again a one dimensional team for the twelfth straight week.
The key matchup in this game is the Lions offensive line versus the Patriots front seven. The Lions need to keep a clean pocket for Stafford another 4 sack day from this offensive line will doom the Lions. Stafford needs time to find Tate, Johnson, Fauria, Ebron, and Pettigrew, if the O-Line gives it to him the Lions have enough receiving weapons to put up big numbers on the Patriots. The Lions are 7.5 underdogs at Gillette Stadium, I don’t think the Lions are going to win this game at the same time 7.5 points is a lot against the number one ranked defense in the league. I think the Lions find a way to break our hearts again as they once again fail to beat a team with a winning record late in November. Take the Lions giving 7.5 on the road to the Patriots.
Final Score: New England Patriots 21 Detroit Lions 17